چكيده به لاتين
Abstract:
Earned value management (EVM) has long been appreciated by project managers as a method to integrate time and cost domains among the 10 domains of project management. Earned value management and risk management (RM) both attempt to estimate project’s final results. However, EVM method evaluates past performance of the project using quantitative measurements instead of to forecast projects future results. RM method on the other hand, sees the project in a forward fashion in order to recognize future uncertainties for making proper decisions. Therefore, combination of the methods results in an efficient combined method by which the final results of the whole project are evaluated in a long term framework.
In this study, in order to estimate project’s final results more accurately, the two domains of risk management and Earned value management are combined via determining risk coefficient in company with current coefficients of Earned value management system.
The outcomes of this study can be utilized to estimate project’s risk cost and its allocation. Furthermore, from the calculated risk coefficient it is possible to derive estimated revenue, precautionary reserve or management reserve for given projects.
Keywords: : Earned value management, estimation of project’s final results, performance coefficient, risk determination, risk specification, risk allocation and risk cost
