چكيده به لاتين
Crisis are issues that affect all aspects of a society, so neglecting them could lead to irreparable damages. The increasing number of natural disasters in recent years puts emphasis on importance of present study. Since imminent earthquake has been predicted to Tehran, and urban neighborhoods are the first vulnerable levels in society, Evin neighborhood has been chosen as a case study. The main problem of this study is the resilience of the mentioned neighborhood according to its special condition. The main goal of this study is to assess the level of resilience in the neighborhood and providing suitable plans or solution to increase this level. Questions include what is the mutual concept of neighborhood’s resilience among different local actors and what is the framework for urban solutions to this question.
According to the conceptual framework, the study is divided into two main parts, evaluation of resilience and provision of neighborhood plans for building resilience. In the evaluation part, according to four main components of Evin’s resilience, including community, organizations, physical infrastructure, education and awareness, local indicators have been established and prioritized based on different operational experiences, theoretical viewpoints and experts’ comments. Assessment has been done by using questionnaire surveys, interviews, and spatial analysis through ArcGIS as tools of data gathering. The desirability of sub-criteria has been analyzed through T-one sample test and its result is being determined in “resilience level of different neighborhood areas” maps and charts. In planning part, binary comparison of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats have been weighted based on QSPM approach. As a result, Evin position against earthquake is being found crisis and prioritized strategies, policies and general plans have been determined in fifth chapter.
The results show that despite the suitability of certain zones neighborhood in terms of physical indicators, level of resilience is low in these areas which indicates that resilience is not a physical approach. Most poor dimensions of resilience in Evin are the institutional due to lack of legal grounds and lack of cooperation between different levels of organizations, and educational due to incorrect understanding of earthquake crisis and lack of awareness. Therefore, provided strategies and plans are mostly institutional and educational in neighborhood resiliency field. Since, the neighborhood position against earthquake based on QSPM evaluation is critical, the need of defensive strategies as the first priorities of actions is felt. The mentioned prioritization could lead to saving time and money. This study and its solution in terms of neighborhood resilience could be considered as the foundation of further researches.
Keywords: evaluating urban neighborhood resilience, the neighborhood of Evin, earthquake, disaster resilience.