چكيده به لاتين
Today, due to the need for energy in various sectors, including industry, agriculture, home consumption, the importance of the energy basket and its production and consumption mechanism is very important for macro-level planning of the country, one of the important and effective attitudes in studies for better planning. Energy production is an environmental assessment of the energy production process. This assessment can have different methods. In the present study, the life cycle assessment method with CLM-IA methodology has been used to evaluate the intermediate effects and for the final effects the Eco-indicator 99 method has been used. The scope of the studies is discussed in two approaches, the first, cradle to grave for carbon emission from energy production of various power plants with different sources for validation with global and national data, which discusses power plants from the source to burial stage and for the second The cradle-to-cradle approach, which examines the resource-to-recycling phase using the Equinoin database, aims to evaluate the production and consumption of Iran's energy portfolio, and does not discuss technical methods of construction, operation, or recycling. request Energy and its production sources. To evaluate the three scenarios of the energy basket, the year of origin is Iran's energy basket 2018 and the other basket is Iran's 2050 energy basket. To calculate the amount of energy demand in 2050, the York model has been used to calculate The model of the University of Vienna has been used to relate the effects to economic growth, and to compare the three baseline scenarios used for Iran's energy demand in 2018, the 2050 energy basket with the maximum available renewable energy capacity, and the 2050 Iran energy basket with zero carbon scenario. Among the results of this study, we can mention the lower level of emissions of Iran's energy basket compared to the global energy basket, which is due to the use of 36% of coal in the global energy basket. On the other hand, in Iran's energy basket, the most damaging scenario is the energy basket in 2018, followed by the energy basket in 2050, taking into account population growth, as well as a 50% increase in energy demand, and finally the zero carbon scenario, which is 64% of the two Solar and wind technology has been used, which effects scenario d Compared to the first scenario of Iran's electricity production basket in 2018, the impact has been reduced by about 40%, and therefore for the third scenario, which is zero carbon, and the first scenario, the reduction of effects is about 52%, which shows the importance and impact of renewable energy. Reduce environmental impact.
