6072

6072

مقايسه نتايج روشهاي مختلف برآوردارزش زمان سفرVOT)مطالعه موردي شهرستان كرمانشاه

كارشناسي ارشد

حمل و نقل

فروردين83

فروردين83

دكتر جليل شاهي

Abstract Many different variables affect demand, distribution, mode choice and route choice of transport. However, the core variable is travel time, and hereby values of time (VOT). Saving in travel time is almost always the major benefit that accrues from investment in the transport sector. Accordingly, a through estimating of VOT is fundamental in order to be able to meld the traffic and economic appraisal of different policy regarding transport. Various methods were established to estimating the value of time (VOT) which every one of them depend on their basis and beneficial of each method is differ. This thesis studies the various method of evaluating the VOT and proposes improvement for them and then constructs the related model for calculating the amount of parameter. Production based-method (PBM), cost of time (COP), maximizing utility with revealed preferences data (RP) and method based on stated preferences (SP) include transfer price (TP) and contingent validation (CV), are five methods, which considered in this research. Also, in this thesis the effects of socio-economic and travel variables on VOT is studied. At the end, each of these methods evaluate with considering to the purpose of project. The case study of this research was done in Kermanshah city, the biggest city of west of Iran, on 2003.Data collection, sampling, interview and polling are some other activities were done to obtain the goal of study. Conclusion of study indicated that the amount evaluated of VOT is depending on the type of method and specification of model. The result of TP, CV and RP methods are more precise and confident but PBM and COT evaluated parameter more quick and approximated. However, the study shows that educated people, car ownerships, men, adult and people who have more income have more value of time than other similar groups. Value of time depends on the mode of travel, the amount of time saving and purpose of trip too. Keywords: Value of time- travel time- utility function- transfer pricecontingent validation